Geostrategy for Decision-Makers

Mark Brolin briefs boards, executive teams and other key policy makers with decision-ready geopolitical and geoeconomic analysis that separates signal from noise and turns volatility into clear strategic implications.

What clients gain

  • Earlier signals - separated from headline noise
  • Bias-resistant judgement - clearer priorities and timing
  • Decision-ready implications - risk and opportunity

Media & Insights

The Telegraph

The cognitive bias that allows Putin's crumbling regime to dominate the West

Future historians will wonder how Russia was able to intimidate the most powerful military alliance ever. The answer lies in institutional and cognitive biases.

So what? The misreading of Russia, a country in much underestimated decline, negatively impacts both security and economic assessments.

CNN News-18

The US-India trade deal

The US-India trade deal can be seen as a continuation of deeper integration which has been ongoing for decades. The recent trade war will be seen by historians as a temporary blip.

So what? Perceptions are still lagging behind how India is reshaping the geopolitical map more than any other country on the planet.

The Telegraph

How short term noise often makes nonsense of both the US and European analysis

It is long overdue to think beyond Trump. The US capacity for reinvention is ultimately why Europe is in much greater long term trouble than the US.

So what? Political theatrics matter little in the long run, yet continue to dominate both mainstream political and economic analysis. This is a risk as well as an opportunity.

Signal vs Noise

What actually changes decisions - and what doesn't

In volatile periods, the challenge isn't lack of information - it's mis-weighting it. Below are examples of how to distinguish between surface-level information and the signals that genuinely affect strategy, risk and policy choices.

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Noise

"Each new crisis proves the world is falling apart."

Signal

We are in a transition phase. Structural shifts in energy security, industrial policy, technology controls and alliances matter far more than episodic shocks.

Strategic implication: Prioritise long-term positioning and resilience over reacting to daily headlines.
2
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Noise

"Russia's aggression proves strength and expanding dominance."

Signal

Outcomes are shaped by constraints - sanctions durability, military capacity, fiscal depth and alliance cohesion.

Strategic implication: Plan for scenarios that affect energy, commodities, compliance and regional exposure - focus on structural factors rather than surface-level commentary.
3
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Noise

"Election drama will fundamentally change everything."

Signal

Institutional constraints and implementation timelines determine what policies actually stick.

Strategic implication: Base decisions on likely policy direction and persistence, not campaign cycles.
4
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Noise

"Tariffs or sanctions announced today will immediately reshape trade."

Signal

Enforcement, coordination and workarounds determine real economic impact.

Strategic implication: Map exposure and optionality in supply chains and capital flows before making costly shifts.
5
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Noise

"AI will disrupt entire industries overnight."

Signal

Adoption speed, regulation, compute access and organisational capability drive outcomes.

Strategic implication: Invest in capability-building and practical integration rather than reacting to short-term narratives.

This signal-first approach underpins Mark's briefings and keynotes - helping leaders prioritise earlier, make more proportionate risk assessments, and translate geopolitical change into practical decisions.

Keynotes & Services

Mark delivers keynotes and briefings that translate geopolitics into decision-ready implications. Focus areas include signal vs noise, strategic implications, and risk assessment.

For speaking engagements and advisory services, see Services/Contact.

Risk Assessment Framework

Excessive Caution Proportionate Assessment Overconfidence

Mark works with leadership teams, boards and policy stakeholders across sectors and regions, providing concise briefings that cut through complexity and focus on what truly changes decisions.